At ten against eleven for more than 45 minutes, Leeds managed to snatch a 2-1 victory against Manchester City this Saturday afternoon in the Premier League. However, Marcelo Bielsa’s team only shot twice, while their goalkeeper was bombarded the entire game.
This hold-up had to be the work of a Marcelo Bielsa team. Leeds United caused a sensation this Saturday afternoon in the Premier League, winning 2-1 on the lawn of Manchester City. The formation of Pep Guardiola was however in numerical superiority during the whole second half. For a killer tackle, Liam Cooper was indeed excluded just before half-time (45th + 1). But on a counter, Stuart Dallas, author of a double, managed to crucify the Skyblues in added time (90th + 1).
This victory has everything of a statistical anomaly, which almost recalls a certain C1 game played in midweek in Munich. The numbers confirm that Pep Guardiola’s side outrageously dominated their subject. The Skyblues shot 29 times and were on target 7 times. But Leeds showed maximum efficiency, shaking the net on his only two shots.
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A huge gap in xG
This Mancunian lack of realism is also illustrated by the Expected Goals (xG), this statistical model which adds up the chances of scoring a goal according to the shot made. At the break, Manchester City were at 0.96 xG against 0.05 xG opposite. Leeds, however, led 1-0. At the end of the match, it’s even more striking: 2.24 against 0.23 xG.
In terms of possession, there is also no photo. Manchester City finished the match 71% and with 615 assists. With 29%, Leeds made only 252 passes. Less than half of the opposing total.
This result is a sudden stop for the Premier League leader, who had not lost to a home promoted since February 2007 (2-0 loss to Reading). Manchester City nevertheless retains a good mattress at the top of the standings six games from the end, with provisionally 14 points ahead of rival United.